US Inflation Rises More Than Expected, Bitcoin Tanks

According to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) released Wednesday morning, US consumer prices surged by 0.4% over the previous month and 3.5% over the prior year in March. These figures outpaced economist forecasts, with expectations set at a 0.3% monthly increase and a 3.4% annual rise.

The hotter-than-expected inflation print adds complexity to the Federal Reserve's strategy on interest rates. With the central bank striving to curb inflation and return it to its 2% target, the path ahead appears uncertain. 

Investors, who initially anticipated six rate cuts this year, now anticipate around three 25-basis-point cuts, reflecting the Fed's challenges in managing inflationary pressures.

‍

Bitcoin Takes a Hit

In response to the inflation data, the price of bitcoin (BTC) plummeted by more than 2% to $67,500 within an hour. Bitcoin faces major challenges amid increased inflation concerns as a result of this decline.

Traditional markets also reacted negatively to the inflation figures, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures tumbling by about 1.5%. Additionally, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged by 13 basis points to 4.50%, while the dollar index rose by a significant 0.5%. Even gold, which has been reaching record highs, experienced a 0.5% decline to $2,352 per ounce.

‍

Uncertain Path for Monetary Policy

Amid expectations of easier US monetary policy in 2024, fueled by anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, the resurgence of inflation has disrupted market forecasts. Fed officials have signaled a reluctance to adjust monetary policy until they observe sustained downward trends in inflation, emphasizing the need for caution in navigating economic uncertainties.